Is Iran safe in 2026?
Iran scores 42.0/100 on the live safety index — high-risk. The main pressure on the score comes from sanctions, political stability, internet freedom. The 24-hour AI forecast calls the trend stable (projected 40.6/100).
42.0 /100high-risk
30-day trend
Iran's score changed by +0.6 over the last 22 days (41.4 → 42.0) — within normal day-to-day noise. No single event moved the index.
Risk factors
Open the interactive country card to inspect current factors. For historical factor data and integrations, see the customer API.
Conflict & War
15.8/34.1 safety points.
View details
- Air campaign
- 15.4 pts
- Local strikes
- 1.4 pts
- Operations abroad
- 0.6 pts
These values can overlap and are not added together.
Nuclear threats & incidents
Nuclear index: 83.1/100. Does not affect the Safety Index.
Our index tracks nuclear weapons development, tests, radiation incidents and threats to use nuclear weapons. It also includes explicitly threatened countries. This is our own index, not a probability of nuclear war.
Official travel advisory
4 Do Not Travel
The U.S. State Department places Iran at Level 4 — Do Not Travel citing terrorism, kidnapping and unrest. Our live index reads 42.0/100. That advisory was last revised Dec 5, 2025, 315 days ago; the index above is recomputed continuously from current reporting.
Source: U.S. Department of State, revised Dec 5, 2025. Levels run 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel). This page is not travel advice.
Latest recorded events
- Container ship sinks near strait of Hormuz amid surge in Iranian attacks
- Iran executes man linked to anti-government protests
- Two ships sink near Hormuz after being hit by projectiles amid surge in attacks
- Iranian strikes sink two cargo ships on Strait of Hormuz
- US Treasury releases new Iran-related sanctions
- Iran sentences woman to death for allegedly posting “blasphemy” on social media, NGOs say
24-hour forecast
Trend: stable · projected score 40.6/100 (generated )
Repeated ship sinkings near Hormuz, executions, and sanctions reinforce mounting instability.
Compared with nearby countries
| Country | Score | 0–100 | vs Iran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 42.0 | — | |
| Kuwait | 85.1 | +43.1 | |
| Bahrain | 81.0 | +39.0 | |
| Qatar | 80.9 | +38.9 | |
| Turkmenistan | 65.3 | +23.3 | |
| Iraq | 67.7 | +25.7 |