Is Guernsey safe in 2026?
Guernsey scores 97.1/100 on the live safety index — very safe. No threat category is under significant pressure right now. The score has been stable for 24 days. The 24-hour AI forecast calls the trend stable (projected 97.1/100).
97.1 /100very safe
30-day trend
Guernsey's score fell by −1.0 over the last 30 days (98.1 → 97.1).
Threat breakdown
| Category | Pressure | Score / cap |
|---|---|---|
| Natural disasters | 0.4 / 5 | |
| Economy | 0.4 / 8 | |
| Crime | 0.7 / 15 | |
| Political instability | 0.7 / 15 | |
| Ecology | 0.0 / 1 | |
| Public health | 0.1 / 3 | |
| Internet freedom | 0.1 / 7 | |
| Military conflict | 0.4 / 30 | |
| Nuclear risk | 0.1 / 12 | |
| Sanctions | 0.0 / 4 |
Higher category scores mean more threat pressure; each category is capped by its weight in the 0–100 index. How scores are computed.
Latest recorded events
No threat events have been recorded for Guernsey — the index is holding on baseline factors alone.
24-hour forecast
Trend: stable · projected score 97.1/100 (generated )
No recent events and a flat recent trajectory support continued stability.
Compared with nearby countries
| Country | Score | 0–100 | vs Guernsey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guernsey | 97.1 | — | |
| Jersey | 97.0 | −0.1 | |
| France | 87.7 | −9.3 | |
| Belgium | 93.7 | −3.4 | |
| Ireland | 94.7 | −2.3 | |
| Isle of Man | 98.1 | +1.0 |