Is Belarus safe in 2026?
Belarus scores 59.0/100 on the live safety index — mixed — increased caution is advisable. The main pressure on the score comes from political stability, sanctions, internet freedom. The 24-hour AI forecast calls the trend stable (projected 58.2/100).
59.0 /100mixed
30-day trend
Belarus's score rose by +1.4 over the last 22 days (57.6 → 59.0).
Risk factors
Open the interactive country card to inspect current factors. For historical factor data and integrations, see the customer API.
Conflict & War
8.2/34.1 safety points.
Nuclear threats & incidents
Nuclear index: 27.5/100. Does not affect the Safety Index.
Our index tracks nuclear weapons development, tests, radiation incidents and threats to use nuclear weapons. It also includes explicitly threatened countries. This is our own index, not a probability of nuclear war.
Official travel advisory
4 Do Not Travel
The U.S. State Department places Belarus at Level 4 — Do Not Travel citing unrest. Our live index reads 59.0/100. That advisory was last revised Dec 29, 2025, 291 days ago; the index above is recomputed continuously from current reporting.
Source: U.S. Department of State, revised Dec 29, 2025. Levels run 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel). This page is not travel advice.
Latest recorded events
- Belarusians could be stripped of their citizenship. Why does Lukashenko dislike Belarusians so much?
- In Belarus, the connection of new carriers to Yandex.Taxi has been restricted
- Belarusian banned from entering Russia for 100 years over participation in the 2020 Belarusian protests
- Russia attacked regions bordering Belarus. At least one jet drone flew into the Gomel region
- Political prisoner Areshka completely lost his sight, but was able to write a few words to his grandchildren himself
- Incident on NATO border: Armed masked men forced migrants towards Latvia
24-hour forecast
Trend: stable · projected score 58.2/100 (generated )
Fresh citizenship threats add political repression to an already weakened safety outlook.
Compared with nearby countries
| Country | Score | 0–100 | vs Belarus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 59.0 | — | |
| Lithuania | 89.2 | +30.2 | |
| Latvia | 88.5 | +29.5 | |
| Estonia | 89.9 | +30.9 | |
| Poland | 84.8 | +25.9 | |
| Ukraine | 37.1 | −21.8 |