Is Belarus safe in 2026?
Belarus scores 57.8/100 on the live safety index — mixed — increased caution is advisable. The main pressure on the score comes from political instability, sanctions, internet freedom. The 24-hour AI forecast calls the trend stable (projected 57.5/100).
57.8 /100mixed
30-day trend
Belarus's score fell by −7.4 over the last 30 days (65.2 → 57.8).
Threat breakdown
| Category | Pressure | Score / cap |
|---|---|---|
| Political instability | 13.6 / 15 | |
| Sanctions | 3.4 / 4 | |
| Internet freedom | 4.7 / 7 | |
| Economy | 3.4 / 8 | |
| Military conflict | 10.5 / 30 | |
| Nuclear risk | 3.3 / 12 | |
| Crime | 2.8 / 15 | |
| Ecology | 0.1 / 1 | |
| Natural disasters | 0.2 / 5 | |
| Public health | 0.1 / 3 |
Higher category scores mean more threat pressure; each category is capped by its weight in the 0–100 index. How scores are computed.
Official travel advisory
4 Do Not Travel
The U.S. State Department places Belarus at Level 4 — Do Not Travel citing unrest. Our live index reads 57.8/100. That advisory was last revised Dec 29, 2025, 246 days ago; the index above is recomputed continuously from current reporting.
Source: U.S. Department of State, revised Dec 29, 2025. Levels run 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel). This page is not travel advice.
Latest recorded events
- Special-regime school. We asked a teacher, a psychologist, and a student's mother what they think about searching children
- Latushka proposes that the EU and Poland impose sanctions in response to Belarus designating European media as extremist
- Prices in Belarus are rising faster than they have in four years
- Another Polish priest is being expelled from Belarus. He served here for more than 30 years
- Genetically unreliable. How a DNA database of regime opponents is being created in Belarus
- Inspection before lessons: From September 1, school pupils' belongings will be selectively checked
24-hour forecast
Trend: stable · projected score 57.5/100 (generated )
Repression, rising prices, expulsions, and protest-preparation measures deepen instability.
Compared with nearby countries
| Country | Score | 0–100 | vs Belarus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 57.8 | — | |
| Lithuania | 89.8 | +31.9 | |
| Latvia | 88.1 | +30.3 | |
| Estonia | 88.6 | +30.8 | |
| Poland | 87.2 | +29.4 | |
| Ukraine | 50.2 | −7.6 |