# Is Ethiopia safe in 2026?

> Ethiopia scores 48.5/100 on the live safety index — high-risk. The main pressure on the score comes from military conflict, political instability, economy. The score has been stable for 23 days. The 24-hour AI forecast calls the trend stable (projected 47.5/100).

**Safety index:** 48.5 / 100 (higher is safer)
**Verdict band:** high-risk
**Active combat confirmed in the last 24h:** no
**Stable for:** 23 days
**Canonical:** https://safemap.ai/country/ethiopia
**Generated:** 2026-09-01T03:52:33Z
**License:** CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) — reuse with attribution to safemap.ai and the timestamp of the numbers.
**Contact:** contact@safemap.ai

## Threat breakdown

| Category | Current | Cap |
|---|---|---|
| Military conflict | 24.3 | 30 |
| Political instability | 9.6 | 15 |
| Economy | 4.7 | 8 |
| Crime | 6.6 | 15 |
| Internet freedom | 3.0 | 7 |
| Natural disasters | 1.8 | 5 |
| Sanctions | 1.1 | 4 |
| Public health | 0.3 | 3 |
| Ecology | 0.1 | 1 |
| Nuclear risk | 0.0 | 12 |

## 30-day trend

Ethiopia's score fell by −7.2 over the last 30 days (55.7 → 48.5).

Aug 3 · 55.7 → Sep 1 · 48.5

## Official travel advisory

**Level 3 — Reconsider Travel.** The U.S. State Department places Ethiopia at Level 3 — Reconsider Travel citing terrorism, kidnapping, unrest, crime, landmines and armed conflict. Our live index reads 48.5/100. That advisory was last revised Apr 1, 2026, 153 days ago; the index above is recomputed continuously from current reporting.

Source: U.S. Department of State (https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/traveladvisories/traveladvisories/ethiopia-travel-advisory.html), revised Apr 1, 2026. Levels run 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel). This is not travel advice.

## Latest recorded events

- 2026-08-21T21:33:15Z — Official creditors back Ethiopia bond restructuring, flag risks in warrant — economy, severity 4/10 — Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/official-creditors-back-ethiopia-bond-restructuring-flag-risks-warrant-2026-08-21/
- 2026-08-04T01:04:20Z — Ethiopia landslide kills 14 at monastery ritual, search continues for missing — disaster, severity 6/10 — Associated Press — https://apnews.com/article/ethiopia-amhara-landslide-e4949a0ebbd59fc2a5c902baef25be91
- 2026-08-01T20:51:03Z — Fighting breaks out in western Tigray as Ethiopia and TPLF trade blame - Clashes near Sheraro mark one of the most serious threats yet to the fragile 2022 Pretoria peace deal. — military, severity 6/10 — Al Jazeera — https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/1/fighting-breaks-out-in-western-tigray-as-ethiopia-and-tplf-trade-blame?traffic_source=rss
- 2026-07-30T10:41:39Z — Ethiopian Airlines revenue jumps 20%, state news agency says — economy, severity 2/10 — Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ethiopian-airlines-posts-20-rise-full-year-revenue-2026-07-29/
- 2026-07-29T21:36:58Z — Saudi Arabia executes 5 Ethiopians over drug-related charges, rights group says — political, severity 4/10 — Reuters — https://apnews.com/article/ethiopia-execution-saudi-arabia-drugs-9a86814a289ad4f964dc8aa84b86ff73
- 2026-07-29T19:59:59Z — US seeks role in Ethiopian Airlines' $12.5 billion airport project — political, severity 2/10 — Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/us-seeks-role-ethiopian-airlines-125-billion-airport-project-2026-07-29/

## 24-hour forecast

Trend **stable**, projected score 47.5/100, generated 2026-08-31T23:02:19Z.

Fresh Tigray fighting alongside a deadly landslide worsens an already fragile environment.

## Compared with nearby countries

| Country | Score | vs Ethiopia |
|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia (this country) | 48.5 | — |
| Djibouti | 78.9 | +30.4 |
| Eritrea | 55.2 | +6.7 |
| Somalia | 34.5 | −14.0 |
| South Sudan | 33.9 | −14.6 |
| Kenya | 75.5 | +27.0 |

## How this number is computed

https://safemap.ai/methodology.md

## Citation

Global Safety Map, safemap.ai — safety index 48.5/100 for Ethiopia, as of 2026-09-01T03:52:33Z.

## License

The data is licensed under CC BY 4.0: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

You may reuse, redistribute and build on these numbers, including commercially, provided you attribute Global Safety Map (safemap.ai) and carry the timestamp of the figures you quote. A score without its timestamp is not attributed data — it is a stale number with our name on it.

Citation format: Global Safety Map, safemap.ai — safety index {score}/100 for {country}, as of {date}.

## Contact

Questions, partnerships or data-removal requests: contact@safemap.ai