# Is Belarus safe in 2026?

> Belarus scores 57.9/100 on the live safety index — mixed — increased caution is advisable. The main pressure on the score comes from political instability, sanctions, internet freedom. The 24-hour AI forecast calls the trend stable (projected 57.5/100).

**Safety index:** 57.9 / 100 (higher is safer)
**Verdict band:** mixed
**Active combat confirmed in the last 24h:** no
**Canonical:** https://safemap.ai/country/belarus
**Generated:** 2026-09-01T03:41:48Z
**License:** CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) — reuse with attribution to safemap.ai and the timestamp of the numbers.
**Contact:** contact@safemap.ai

## Threat breakdown

| Category | Current | Cap |
|---|---|---|
| Political instability | 13.6 | 15 |
| Sanctions | 3.4 | 4 |
| Internet freedom | 4.7 | 7 |
| Economy | 3.4 | 8 |
| Military conflict | 10.5 | 30 |
| Nuclear risk | 3.3 | 12 |
| Crime | 2.8 | 15 |
| Ecology | 0.1 | 1 |
| Natural disasters | 0.2 | 5 |
| Public health | 0.1 | 3 |

## 30-day trend

Belarus's score fell by −7.3 over the last 30 days (65.2 → 57.9).

Aug 3 · 65.2 → Sep 1 · 57.9

## Official travel advisory

**Level 4 — Do Not Travel.** The U.S. State Department places Belarus at Level 4 — Do Not Travel citing unrest. Our live index reads 57.9/100. That advisory was last revised Dec 29, 2025, 246 days ago; the index above is recomputed continuously from current reporting.

Source: U.S. Department of State (https://travel.state.gov/content/tsg_aem/us/en/home/international-travel/travel-advisories/destination.blr.html), revised Dec 29, 2025. Levels run 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel). This is not travel advice.

## Latest recorded events

- 2026-08-31T08:26:45Z — Special-regime school. We asked a teacher, a psychologist, and a student's mother what they think about searching children — political, severity 3/10 — Radio Svaboda (RFE/RL) — https://www.svaboda.org/a/33843927.html
- 2026-08-30T16:52:45Z — Latushka proposes that the EU and Poland impose sanctions in response to Belarus designating European media as extremist — political, severity 4/10 — Radio Svaboda (RFE/RL) — https://www.svaboda.org/a/33843549.html
- 2026-08-30T15:47:48Z — Prices in Belarus are rising faster than they have in four years — economy, severity 3/10 — Radio Svaboda (RFE/RL) — https://www.svaboda.org/a/33843544.html
- 2026-08-28T08:21:28Z — Another Polish priest is being expelled from Belarus. He served here for more than 30 years — political, severity 3/10 — Radio Svaboda (RFE/RL) — https://www.svaboda.org/a/33842363.html
- 2026-08-28T07:51:30Z — Genetically unreliable. How a DNA database of regime opponents is being created in Belarus — political, severity 4/10 — Radio Svaboda (RFE/RL) — https://www.svaboda.org/a/33842380.html
- 2026-08-26T17:52:49Z — Inspection before lessons: From September 1, school pupils' belongings will be selectively checked — political, severity 2/10 — Radio Svaboda (RFE/RL) — https://www.svaboda.org/a/33840693.html

## 24-hour forecast

Trend **stable**, projected score 57.5/100, generated 2026-08-31T23:01:13Z.

Repression, rising prices, expulsions, and protest-preparation measures deepen instability.

## Compared with nearby countries

| Country | Score | vs Belarus |
|---|---|---|
| Belarus (this country) | 57.9 | — |
| Lithuania | 89.8 | +31.9 |
| Latvia | 88.1 | +30.2 |
| Estonia | 88.7 | +30.8 |
| Poland | 87.3 | +29.4 |
| Ukraine | 50.3 | −7.6 |

## How this number is computed

https://safemap.ai/methodology.md

## Citation

Global Safety Map, safemap.ai — safety index 57.9/100 for Belarus, as of 2026-09-01T03:41:48Z.

## License

The data is licensed under CC BY 4.0: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

You may reuse, redistribute and build on these numbers, including commercially, provided you attribute Global Safety Map (safemap.ai) and carry the timestamp of the figures you quote. A score without its timestamp is not attributed data — it is a stale number with our name on it.

Citation format: Global Safety Map, safemap.ai — safety index {score}/100 for {country}, as of {date}.

## Contact

Questions, partnerships or data-removal requests: contact@safemap.ai
